Coronavirus: Isolation for over-70s 'within weeks'

Started by Borchester, March 15, 2020, 12:56:30 PM

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Hyperduck Quack Quack

Quote from: "Hyperduck Quack Quack" post_id=18714 time=1584303026 user_id=103
The key statistic that they can't measure is the number of new infections each day.  They can measure the number of people developing the coronavirus symptoms, the number becoming seriously ill, the number who die and the number they believe have recovered.  



If we were able to measure new infections, we'd expect that the number would start to go down almost as soon as governments introduce lockdowns that drastically reduce opportunites for the virus to spread between individuals.  



Since we can't measure that statistic, we go on the number of new confirmed cases.  That won't start to reduce until some time after lockdown because on day one the people confirmed with symptoms will have been infected before the lockdown. What I call "some time" would correlate to the incubation period of coronavirus, which in most cases is less than 14 days.


Correcting myself: the rate of increase would start to slow but the actual daily numbers would take some time to start falling.

T00ts

Quote from: Barry post_id=18724 time=1584307465 user_id=51
I understand what the government are trying to do. They need to slow the infection of the most vulnerable. If they close the schools it will put older people at more risk. Parents will need childcare whilst they go to work and that will so often fall on grandparents. Schools are like Petri dishes. This winter we have picked up several viruses and they have all come via grandchildren, bless their little hearts!



If those over 70's refuse the advice given and keep associating with children circulating in schools, they will be high risk subjects.

Bear in mind that children are not killed by this virus. I know that is a generalisation, but the average death age has been 71.

Keep smiling.  :)


I think too that the plan is trying to slow the infections across the board. The fewer infections the fewer pneumonia problems and the fewer ventilators, staff etc needed.

Barry

I understand what the government are trying to do. They need to slow the infection of the most vulnerable. If they close the schools it will put older people at more risk. Parents will need childcare whilst they go to work and that will so often fall on grandparents. Schools are like Petri dishes. This winter we have picked up several viruses and they have all come via grandchildren, bless their little hearts!



If those over 70's refuse the advice given and keep associating with children circulating in schools, they will be high risk subjects.

Bear in mind that children are not killed by this virus. I know that is a generalisation, but the average death age has been 71.

Keep smiling.  :)
† The end is nigh †

Hyperduck Quack Quack

The key statistic that they can't measure is the number of new infections each day.  They can measure the number of people developing the coronavirus symptoms, the number becoming seriously ill, the number who die and the number they believe have recovered.  



If we were able to measure new infections, we'd expect that the number would start to go down almost as soon as governments introduce lockdowns that drastically reduce opportunites for the virus to spread between individuals.  



Since we can't measure that statistic, we go on the number of new confirmed cases.  That won't start to reduce until some time after lockdown because on day one the people confirmed with symptoms will have been infected before the lockdown. What I call "some time" would correlate to the incubation period of coronavirus, which in most cases is less than 14 days.

papasmurf

Many countries including non EU ones are giving out the same advice/instructions.
Nemini parco qui vivit in orbe

Borchester

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51895873">//https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51895873%20%20



What a load of bollocks and typical of the sort of nonsense you get when you put a Brussels bumboy such as Matt Hancock in charge of anything more important than ordering the paperclips. Never mind this Covid cough crap. I will take my chances with that. But after a weekend stuck in the same house madam will almost certainly kill me.
Algerie Francais !