Polls and predicted seats

[T00ts]

It's just scaremongering to get an extra 10% of Tory voters out on the glorious 12th. Don't tell Morayloon.  

The Scottish contingent are very quiet- they must be knocking on doors.

[Churchill]

GE bring out the scaremongers every time, this one they really are out in force

[Barry]

Well this is fun



According to these guys the Tories are down to a 12 seat lead



https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html">//https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html



If this sort of confusion continues we will have to wait for 13 December to find out what is going on....

It's just scaremongering to get an extra 10% of Tory voters out on the glorious 12th. Don't tell Morayloon.  

[Churchill]

::

[Borchester]

Well this is fun



According to these guys the Tories are down to a 12 seat lead



https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html">//https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html



If this sort of confusion continues we will have to wait for 13 December to find out what is going on....

[Nick]

Of course you would Pappy, but with a projected 74 seat majority I imagine that BoJo will see his mate Nigel straight.





Party   Pred Votes        Pred Seats

CON      42.5%           362

LAB      29.6%           200

LIB      14.0%           19

Brexit                      0

Green   3.0%              1

SNP           3.8%               46

PlaidC   0.6%            4

UKIP           0.3%            0

Other   0.7%             0

DUP                          8

SF                          7

Alliance                  3

NI Other                  0

YouGov have released their official MRP which usually predicts the final election result correctly.



And here it is.....





https://editorial.fxstreet.com/miscelaneous/image3729-637104892742799289.png">

[Borchester]

Personally I would like to him tarred and feathered and sat backwards on a horse.

Of course you would Pappy, but with a projected 74 seat majority I imagine that BoJo will see his mate Nigel straight.





Party   Pred Votes        Pred Seats

CON      42.5%           362

LAB      29.6%           200

LIB      14.0%           19

Brexit                      0

Green   3.0%              1

SNP           3.8%               46

PlaidC   0.6%            4

UKIP           0.3%            0

Other   0.7%             0

DUP                          8

SF                          7

Alliance                  3

NI Other                  0

[papasmurf]

Looks like Mr Farage won't be riding to the rescue

Personally I would like to him tarred and feathered and sat backwards on a horse.

[Borchester]

Looks like Mr Farage won't be riding to the rescue

If Boris gets the projected 50 seats majority then Nigel probably won't be invited to the victory celebrations either  :hattip

[Ciaphas]

Looks like Mr Farage won't be riding to the rescue

[Borchester]

Predicted Tory majority slashed to 50 seats!



There you are, I said that opinion polls can't be trusted



Party   Pred Votes   Pred Seats

CON      39.9%--   350

LAB      29.3%--   213

LIB           15.7%--   19

Brexit   6.8%--    0

Green   3.0% --   1

SNP      3.6%--      45

PlaidC   0.6%--      4

UKIP      0.6%--    0

Other   0.7%--   0

DUP       10--       8

SF       --       7

Alliance   --       3

NI Other   --       0

Prediction based on opinion polls from 06 Nov 2019 to 12 Nov 2019, sampling 8,359 people.

[papasmurf]

Did you not promise that the entire Tory party would be in jail for ever and ever because of electoral fraud?

No I did not.

[Borchester]

Actually the Tories have other than Theresa May and Boris Johnson throwing insults at Corbyn from the dispatch box are being quiet about it.

I suspect that is because they knew they could not keep their Islamophobia problem from going public forever.

Islamphobia?



But how did the Tories manage to have time to be Islamphobic?



Did you not promise that the entire Tory party would be in jail for ever and ever because of electoral fraud?

[Churchill]

There is no need to be in awe. Just stop believing Tory lies, which can best be defined as anything that Pappy disagrees with.

Way ahead of him and his Ego, but he does make me chuckle  :: note to self get out more  :shock:

[Churchill]

Its what they call Polotics these days