Sweden Doing Well So Far

Started by Scott777, April 28, 2020, 09:04:19 PM

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Hyperduck Quack Quack

Quote from: Barry post_id=23556 time=1588710569 user_id=51
Really? Based on what?

You need look no further than these forums for your answer.

Barry

Quote from: "Hyperduck Quack Quack" post_id=23551 time=1588702788 user_id=103
Swedish people are probably more likely to act on advice and be sensible and cautious that British people are.

Really? Based on what?
† The end is nigh †

Hyperduck Quack Quack

Swedish people are probably more likely to act on advice and be sensible and cautious that British people are.

Scott777

Quote from: "Hyperduck Quack Quack" post_id=23102 time=1588272814 user_id=103
There was a short piece about Sweden on the BBC news this morning.  They were going around asking Swedish people what their take was. One woman, probably in her 70's, was in a hairdressers.  She said something like: "we're all going to get it anyway so we might as well carry on as normal."


Sounds about right.  Most people will, if they haven't already.
Those princes who have done great things have held good faith of little account, and have known how to craftily circumvent the intellect of men.  Niccolò Machiavelli.

Hyperduck Quack Quack

There was a short piece about Sweden on the BBC news this morning.  They were going around asking Swedish people what their take was. One woman, probably in her 70's, was in a hairdressers.  She said something like: "we're all going to get it anyway so we might as well carry on as normal."

Scott777

Quote from: cromwell post_id=22972 time=1588183060 user_id=48
How do you work out they are doing well Scott?,they have 23 deaths per hundred thousand,neighbouring nations with lockdown 3 or 4 per hundred thousand.



Unsurprisingly the fact in another thread you think it all a hoax might explain the fact your conclusions are rubbish.


Here's an example of why deaths per population doesn't help much.  Belarus has no lockdown, and has 1 death per 100,000, so if that indicates how well things are going, they are doing brilliantly.
Those princes who have done great things have held good faith of little account, and have known how to craftily circumvent the intellect of men.  Niccolò Machiavelli.

Scott777

Quote from: Barry post_id=22987 time=1588195747 user_id=51
I think that we can.

Deaths per million population is an excellent pointer of how far on the disease is in any particular country. Currently.

Belgium 647

Andorra 544

Spain 519

Italy 458

UK 384

France 369

Netherlands 275

Isle of Man 247

Sweden 244

Ireland 241



So Sweden is, comparatively, doing well. However, I suspect they will all level out over time to something under 700 per million.

Sweden might end up with 7,000 dead, the UK 45,000.


I suppose it has some value, in that it might vaguely indicate how much the virus has spread, but it doesn't say much about the disease itself, or effectiveness of lockdown.  There are too many other factors.
Those princes who have done great things have held good faith of little account, and have known how to craftily circumvent the intellect of men.  Niccolò Machiavelli.

Scott777

Quote from: Nalaar post_id=22986 time=1588194629 user_id=99
In contrast - Why is the Case Rate not meaningless without knowing how many infections there have been in the population?


If the cases are dropping, then the deaths will follow.  Given there is no lockdown, that's very important.
Those princes who have done great things have held good faith of little account, and have known how to craftily circumvent the intellect of men.  Niccolò Machiavelli.

Scott777

Quote from: cromwell post_id=22985 time=1588194205 user_id=48
Death rate is meaningless? look they have a worse death rate than their neighbours.



You determine its all hype and not as lethal as the flu,convincing you otherwise is a waste of time you are only interested in it being a conspiracy.


'Conspiracy theory' is just a cop out.  It's nothing more than a derogatory ad hominem, when you don't have a point to make.
Those princes who have done great things have held good faith of little account, and have known how to craftily circumvent the intellect of men.  Niccolò Machiavelli.

Barry

Quote from: Scott777 post_id=22984 time=1588192604 user_id=59
You can't just compare deaths per million, or whatever.  

I think that we can.

Deaths per million population is an excellent pointer of how far on the disease is in any particular country. Currently.

Belgium 647

Andorra 544

Spain 519

Italy 458

UK 384

France 369

Netherlands 275

Isle of Man 247

Sweden 244

Ireland 241



So Sweden is, comparatively, doing well. However, I suspect they will all level out over time to something under 700 per million.

Sweden might end up with 7,000 dead, the UK 45,000.
† The end is nigh †

Nalaar

Quote from: Scott777 post_id=22984 time=1588192604 user_id=59The death rate is meaningless without knowing how many infections there have been in the population


In contrast - Why is the Case Rate not meaningless without knowing how many infections there have been in the population?
Don't believe everything you think.

cromwell

Quote from: Scott777 post_id=22984 time=1588192604 user_id=59
It's doing well in terms of cases.  Number of deaths is a completely separate point.   The death rate is meaningless without knowing how many infections there have been in the population.  You can't just compare deaths per million, or whatever.  But if we take your figures, and assume we can, then your figures give an Infection Fatality Rate of 0.02% - less than the flu, in which case, a peak in cases, leading to a peak in deaths, inevitably means a low IFR.


Death rate is meaningless? look they have a worse death rate than their neighbours.



You determine its all hype and not as lethal as the flu,convincing you otherwise is a waste of time you are only interested in it being a conspiracy.
Energy....secure and affordable,not that hard is it?

Scott777

Quote from: cromwell post_id=22983 time=1588191393 user_id=48
Look your thread header says "Sweden doing well so far" how on earth do you work that out when the death rate is about 6 times its neighbours other than you think the lockdown is wrong and a hype.


It's doing well in terms of cases.  Number of deaths is a completely separate point.   The death rate is meaningless without knowing how many infections there have been in the population.  You can't just compare deaths per million, or whatever.  But if we take your figures, and assume we can, then your figures give an Infection Fatality Rate of 0.02% - less than the flu, in which case, a peak in cases, leading to a peak in deaths, inevitably means a low IFR.
Those princes who have done great things have held good faith of little account, and have known how to craftily circumvent the intellect of men.  Niccolò Machiavelli.

cromwell

Look your thread header says "Sweden doing well so far" how on earth do you work that out when the death rate is about 6 times its neighbours other than you think the lockdown is wrong and a hype.
Energy....secure and affordable,not that hard is it?

Scott777

Quote from: cromwell post_id=22981 time=1588190876 user_id=48
Oh I see the number of deaths is an irrelevance.


Did I say that?  I said that was nothing to do with my point, which was about a peak in cases.  But if it is relevant, you're welcome to explain how.
Those princes who have done great things have held good faith of little account, and have known how to craftily circumvent the intellect of men.  Niccolò Machiavelli.